11,550 and 11,650

Major resistance for Nifty50 for the next couple of sessions

  • Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a dull opening for the Nifty50 in India with a 22 points gain. The Nifty futures were trading at 11,266 on the Singaporean Exchange at 08:40 IST
  • Global selloff aided Monday’s tanking of Sensex and Nifty50. HSBC’s $80M ponzi scandal, Britain’s consideration of a second national lockdown due to resurgence in coronavirus cases and France’s new daily record of 13,215 covid cases were the key contributors

INDIA MARKETS

  • Nifty50 with other domestic indices raced for the third close in the red on Monday, losing 254 points or 2.21% and barely settling at 11,250 level
  • BSE plunged 811 points or 2.09% to close at 38,034 level
  • Nifty50 broke key supports at 11,430 11,380 and 11,300 to record the lowest daily close in eight sessions
  • The index formed a large Bearish candle on the daily chart and closed below its 50-day EMA of 11,274; which might witness consolidation or selling pressure in the next sessions
  • Nifty50 index also saw a negative crossover on the momentum indicator MACD, with 12-day EMA diverging further below the 26-day EMA – suggesting weakness ahead
  • A sustained trade below 11,270 level can drag the Nifty50 index to 11,200 – 11,180 in the near term
  • Upside hurdles are shifting lower towards 11,300 – 11,430 zone
  • India VIX jumped up 10.69% on Monday’ s session from 20.05 to 22.19 level reflecting heightened volatility in the market
  • A sudden surge in volatility indicates more weakness with a capped upside
  • Sectorally, all major indices closed the day in red
  • Nifty Realty was the biggest sectoral loser, was down 5.6% followed by Nifty Metal that dropped 5.16%. Nifty Pharma fell 4.23%, Nifty PSU Bank down 4.20%, Nifty Auto fell 4.04%, Nifty FMCG down 3.02% and Nifty Energy lost 2.60%
  • Bank Nifty continued its weakness for the third consecutive session and drifted towards the 21,250 level – forming a bearish candle on the daily scale
  • India 10 Year bond yield rose 0.96% to 6.066
  • The overnight call money rate weighted average stood at 3.41% according to RBI data. It moved in a range of 2.40 – 3.80%

US MARKETS

  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average continued the September selloff on Monday dropping 510 points or 1.84% on the index to close at 27,147.7
  • The S&P 500 lost 38 points or 1.16% to close at 3281.1, first 4-day losing streak since Feb
  • Nasdaq Composite opened gap-down at 10,607 and gained 171 points to close at Friday’s close of 10778.80
  • Russel 1000 Index Growth shed 20 points or 1.07% to close at 1,828.17
  • Today in derivatives market, Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures are all trading flat
  • Technology stocks rallied to close at Friday’s close after opening gap-down

ASIAN MARKETS

  • Asian markets remain flat with a negative bias
  • In Japan, the financial markets were shut on Tuesday for a public holiday
  • South Korea’s Kospi dropped 04 points or 1.22% in early morning trade
  • Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index opened gap-down and is trading at 23,862 after falling 533 points or 2.00% on Monday
  • In China, Shanghai Composite opened gap-down to trade at 3,298 after losing 32 points or 1.00% on Monday
  • Meanwhile, Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 lost 52 points or 0.89% in morning trade at 5,770 – forming a belt down bearish candle on the day scale
  • Overall, MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan, traded 0.11% lower

EU MARKETS

  • European stocks fell the most since July as investors worried about tighter virus restrictions and a report detailing suspicious transactions at international banks
  • The pan-European Stoxx 600 provisionally ended 3.2% lower by the closing bell on Monday
  • Stoxx 50 saw bearish belt-hold pattern, plunging 122 points or 3.74% to close at 3161
  • The banks plunged 5.7% and travel stocks tumbled 5.2% to lead losses
  • UK govt scientists warned that we could see 50k new covid cases per day in mid-October
  • Germany’s DAX extends losses to 4.37% by the closing bell, most since Mar 27

OIL & NATURAL GAS MARKETS

  • Oil prices plunged more than 4% on Monday forming a big bearish candle
  • A potential return of Libyan production bolstered oversupply fears
  • Today, Brent crude is trading down 0.24% at 41.56 a barrel, fall from close of $43.05 on Friday
  • Today, U.S. WTI crude is trading down 0.29% at 39.65 a barrel, fall from close of $40.87 on Friday
  • Today, Natural Gas CFDs have dropped 0.95% to trade at 2.707, after rising 4.23% on Monday’s trade
  • India’s Crude oil future lost 4.54% on Monday’s trade
  • India’s Natural gas futures was down 10.43% with a greater divergence seen in the 12-day MACD momentum indicator – bolstering bearish strength

GOLD & SILVER MARKETS

  • Gold slumped over 3% on Monday
  • Uncertainty over more US fiscal stimulus along with a stronger dollar impacted prices
  • US gold futures traded down 2.75% at 1,909.60 on Tuesday’s early morning trade
  • Spot gold dropped 2.1% to $1,909.05 per ounce
  • Silver plunged 8.3% to $24.53, its lowest level in over a month
  • Gold prices in India have remained choppy in recent weeks after hitting a record high of over 56,000 last month
  • On MCX, gold futures tumbled 2.7% or 1,500 to 50,300 per 10 gram
  • On MCX, silver futures crashed 9% or 6,000 to 61,802 per kg

INDIA – NCDEX Agridex

  • Agricultural futures index tracking the performance of the 10 liquid commodities, was down 0.40% or 4.55 points at 1,140.40 ; led by gains in guar gum and castor seed

US DOLLAR

  • US dollar strengthened, with currency index rising 0.59% on Tuesday against its G-10 peers, from 92.994 to 93.548
  • Euro/USD levels falling on early morning trade on Tuesday, trading at 1.1761, with Euro weakening
  • The Japanese yen strengthened by 0.10% on Tuesday trade versus the greenback at 104.54 per dollar
  • Sterling was last trading at $1.2815, down 0.01% on the day, with sterling weakening
  • USD/INR opened at 73.528 and closed 05 cents higher on Monday, settling below the 75-per USD mark at 73.57
  • CNH, the offshore yuan, stands at 6.8056 to the USD, down 0.09% with dollar weakening to CNH

US TREASURY

  • Yields on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note is trading at 0.668%, down from Monday’s open at 0.699%
  • The 30-year bond yield is trading at 1.418%, down from Monday’s open at 1.454%

FUND FLOWS on 21.09.2020 (source NSE)

  • FII Net Sell Rs 539 Cr in Cash Market
  • DII Net Sell Rs 517 Cr in Cash Market